PDC Stats Analyst Christopher Kempf assesses the sport’s top ten stars – based on their last 200 legs played – ahead of the 2026 Betfred World Matchplay. #1 Averages – Luke Humphries#1 OChE – Luke Humphries#1 Doubles – Rob Cross#1 171-180 – Luke Littler#1 99, 101+ Checkout – Wessel Nijman Luke Humphries continues to hold […]
PDC Stats Analyst Christopher Kempf assesses the sport’s top ten stars – based on their last 200 legs played – ahead of the 2026 Betfred World Matchplay.
#1 Averages – Luke Humphries
#1 OChE – Luke Humphries
#1 Doubles – Rob Cross
#1 171-180 – Luke Littler
#1 99, 101+ Checkout – Wessel Nijman
Luke Humphries continues to hold all the aces as he sits atop the Form Guide leaderboard going into the World Matchplay, with a 102 average in his last 200 legs that is nearly three points ahead of Luke Littler’s 99.
There is another wide gap between the two Lukes and the remaining competitors: Gerwyn Price holds the 3rd highest average, but with a doubles percentage of only 37.62 – just barely above the PDC average – his OChE rating suggests that he does not have the efficiency to win as many legs as his 98 average would suggest.
Last year’s runner up James Wade barely cracks the Form Guide top 16, and Gian van Veen is even further behind.
The only other players within striking distance in terms of OChE are Wessel Nijman – the only player this year to have won more titles that Littler – as well as Stephen Bunting and Ross Smith, both of whom would expect to win more than 59% of their legs.
However, Smith is the 15th seed, meaning that he would face Luke Humphries in his second match if the world number two can defeat Cameron Menzies.
Meanwhile, Bunting could meet Littler in a best-of-31 legs quarter-final, making it even more difficult for the former Masters winner to overcome the World Champion’s statistical advantage over such a lengthy match.
Rob Cross has fallen to 21st in the world rankings since reaching the world number two spot in 2019, but his form is clearly on the upswing.
Though his average declined to 97.02 in the first two weeks of July, he is hitting the critical doubles and set-up shots needed to win legs, and thus his OChE rating has risen by a point to 60.96 – the third-best in the PDC.
Though Danny Noppert, Cross’ round one opponent, is the seeded player at the World Matchplay, Cross has a huge statistical advantage over his last 200 legs.
This is most apparent when it comes to finishing: the former World Champion has the highest doubles percentage of any Tour Card Holder, while Noppert ranks 95th.
Though the Dutchman got the better of Cross in their last meeting, the odds are against his being able to do it again.
Though he fell short of qualifying for this year’s World Matchplay, Connor Scutt has rocketed up the Form Guide leaderboard to a career-best fourth, on the strength of an incredible showing in the most recent European Tour qualifiers.
Scutt won eight consecutive matches this past weekend to qualify for European Tour Events 11 and 12, averaging over 103 for the second event and defeating Ricky Evans to claim a spot in Prague.
His 97.74 average over the last 200 legs is nearly four points ahead of where he was at the end of June, giving him a theoretical advantage in OChE over all but three of the players contending for the Phil Taylor Trophy in Blackpool.
Scutt is now on the verge of qualifying for his first European Championship, and is already in good stead for the Players Championship Finals, as if he can maintain 60.83 OChE rating he will take his career to the next level.